All day the marker for the best surfing was how high in the lip line surfers put the initial and the finish turn. Lots pulled it down way short of the lip line. Flores on his heat winning wave, went way, way up into the lip, into a layback power carve, then smashed a giant close-out. Very David with the sling shot aiming up against Goliath. Very nuts. Clutch as they say, though remarkably they didn't.

Margaret River Pro, day two analysis: Performance gap between John John Florence and field narrows; Jeremy Flores like “David with the sling shot against Goliath. Very nuts!”

Come on, admit it, we are all Margaret River lovers now.

Our point of departure is Margaret River, four years ago.

The gap between John John Florence and the rest of the field was colossal. You can’t even remember who was in the final with him, right.

Same guy he flogged in 2019, Kolohe Andino.

I think we need to say the gap has narrowed. John is surfing amazing, but not appreciably better, compared to the rest of the field, than he did two and four years ago.

A full days competition in six foot-plus surf with overlapping heats gave us all fair assessment of the narrowed gap. Filipe looks faster, sparkier, more repertoire. Caio could beat him again, as he did during their deadly, timeless battles during 2016. Colapinto has evolved, Gabe is fully present, in a way he’s never been in Maggie River.

Ryan Callinan has finish turns only rivalled by Medina. What I’m saying is a mild challenge to the orthodoxy that John is unbeatable here is warranted after today’s performances.

A quick word on some losers. Mikey Wright has an image problem. We first knew him as the Weetbix kid, then he re-emerged like a butterfly from the Quiksilver marketing chrysalis as a full-fledged native born bogan wild man.

OK, we could swallow that.

But the wild colonial boy surfed strangely conservative heats in his wildcard run in 2018. The soul of an accountant seemed to lurk beneath the mullet. Now he’s back and charging like a mallee bull, but it seems every turn is over-compensating for the initial timidity, as if he needs to justify in the minds of the judges and fans that the wild bogan image is real. Quik probably won’t drop him, burnouts sell boardshorts.

But he needs to cool it and make a heat.

That’s another last place. Third in a row.

Ace might need to consider his future. He was woefully out-classed by Italo in the afternoon. Italo surfed OK, pulled his backhand hooks a bit short, finished very strong. But he looked vulnerable. Ace should review closely. Surf coaching beckons and he would make a very fine one.

What to do with Ethan Ewing?

A decade since John John and Medina came on tour in 2011. The last great rookies who justified the hype as title contenders. Italo doesn’t count, because he came on tour with zero hype. Ewing is getting the same hype a second time around, and getting comboed in six-foot rights by a goofyfoot. Too many weak heats. Continually damned with faint praise by competitors who beat him easily. Looks like a perennial backmarker apart from a few flashes in Narrabeen.

Overlapping heats started with Leo and John John. Leo hassles the shit out of the champ for the opening wave and gets an 8.67 less than five minutes in to a forty-minute heat. John answers with a 7.67. You out-surf the champ by a point in the opening exchange so what do you do?

Leo went and sat.

Stubbornly refused to surf a wave. John caught a wave, then another, then another and another. Got some scores, lowballed by the judges, who judge him against what he can do out there, not by what he does do. Carries a handy lead. Leo needs a mid-seen. Two turns and a close-out reo.

Peterson Crisanto in the next heat rides a solid mid-ranger. Two turns and a close-out reo for a 7.87.

Somehow this sitting like a Buddha under the Bodhi Tree awaiting enlightenment strategy, perversely called by Joe and Bugs in the Booth “keeping the champ off waves” (how?) is considered the height of wisdom.

Of course,  time ran out and Leo was short a wave, forced to scrap on a piece of shite. Only in pro surfing would this losing strategy, of aggressively doing nothing, be considered what Bugs called “spot-on”.

Didn’t Morgan Ciblic just conclusively demonstrate not once, but twice, how to beat him? Attack hard, keep swinging, put him under scoreboard pressure and make him ruminate. John even admitted after the heat that he was bothered by the opening hassle.

Peculiar, as the gang of lunatics said to Nurse Ratched. Very peculiar.

Jack Robbo and Jeremy Flores surfed the heat of the day. It was hours later when they interviewed Jack and he was still twitching about nervously. If you’ve got a spare forty it’s worth watching in its entirety. Very good exchanges. Robbo pulling away and holding a solid lead with ten to go. It’s very rare, and it speaks to how hard it is to ride a surfboard, let alone to do something amazing, something better than you have been doing under extreme pressure, to see someone behind in a heat come back and win.

Most surfers crumble.

All day the marker for the best surfing was how high in the lip line surfers put the initial and the finish turn. Lots pulled it down way short of the lip line. Flores on his heat winning wave, went way, way up into the lip, into a layback power carve, then smashed a giant close-out. Very David with the sling shot aiming up against Goliath. Very nuts. Clutch as they say, though remarkably they didn’t.

One person who will not be bothered by a hassle is Gabe Medina. If he was anymore relaxed he’d be comatose. He just relentlessly outsurfed Connor O’Leary, who might end up down the Lennox servo pouring coffees next year if he can’t find a way to win.

The draw is unequal, despite what they day and Medina has his measure, easily.

Fatigue set in in the booth and the coverage got scrappy. Bugs was still halfway across the Nullabor in 1973, on the end of one, when Jacob Wilcox rode a potential heat winner against Kanoa. It was not called by the booth, we saw no replay.

The score seemed suspiciously low. Did you see?

Was Jacob cooked in his own backyard by the ultimate cosmopolitan?

I think yes.

Yago also seemed cooked. Heat reviews of both heats are warranted.

People’s champ Caio looked amazing, “Feels so good to surf real waves” he said as a golden glow set upon a lineup that people love or hate.

It has been looking fine, when framed by the east coast beachbreaks that preceded it though, no?

Come on, admit it, we are all Margaret River lovers now.

John and the wavepool has made it thus.

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James Bickerton
James Bickerton
5 years ago

Again he got his highest score on a small inside runner .

Chuck Dukowski
Chuck Dukowski
5 years ago

Who the fuck is the Director? They continually cut to interviews when sets are approaching. Florence’s 10 happened when they were interviewing… They talk story when there is live action. Bizarre.

Billy Hunt
Billy Hunt
5 years ago

Nice recap mid-length tom but what we really want is an in-depth analysis of the comments section … who said what, who took the high line, who’s hand-jamming, what drugs are Nikki Dee on, etc.?

HandJamTurpel
HandJamTurpel
5 years ago

I’m sold. Hell, throw Sunset in there as well or Jardim do Mar.

Gil Gunderson
Gil Gunderson
5 years ago

Good stuff LT. Cherry on the top as always

Keith Grace
Keith Grace
5 years ago

Longtom… is the vision of Ethan Ewing thanking his new coach Ace for new-found success on the CT in 2022 or ’23 what’s in store? The serendipty of both of their careers in this line of work?… I ask this being a seppo of course with no clue of any potential background story of either’s relationships in Oz with the industry or one another of course. Thanks for yet anoither solid piece of analysis as usual.

Chad Lebrone
Chad Lebrone
5 years ago
Reply to  Keith Grace

Update from the event site: I saw Ethan paddle out for a freesurf this evening with a freshly shaved head. He looked mad as fuck. By the look of him, I fully expect that by now he’s four pints deep at Settlers and hitting on someone else’s wife.

Kid looks like he’s breathing fire right now. Hopefully he carries that anger over to Rottnest and we see him surf the way we know he can.

K0o_o0K
K0o_o0K
5 years ago

I read these and am always compelled to say thanks, Longtom.

Thank god the rest of you are funny, too.

SlickSaintNik
SlickSaintNik
5 years ago

Did anybody watch the women? With that much water and texture on the waves I felt like many could have benefited from bigger boards. Overall though, love seeing them out there. Even when taking sets on the head!

BrooklynBarrelDodger
BrooklynBarrelDodger
5 years ago
Reply to  SlickSaintNik

A lot of the men would have looked better on bigger boards too, imo. So many chattery, multi-stage turns, and safety surfing the first section where the wave really stands up.

Filipe’s Fat Tire
Filipe’s Fat Tire
5 years ago

Hubris does look silly

Chibagato
Chibagato
5 years ago

Flores is the only one close to JJF frontside turns. Has been for a while–when he tines and links one. Should have beat Kanoa at Keramas final…
Underscored. Fredericos turns good too.
Ya, Wilcox underscored, same with Pupo on a 3 hitter.
Felipe, Julian and Morg overscored. Especially his last wave v. Moniz. Not a 6.57. Stock turn 1 saved by closeout turn 2 on smaller wave.

Mads Naeraa
Mads Naeraa
5 years ago

Up at sparrows with a long busy day ahead. Sneaking in a cuppa and some toast and a quick browse. Got all giddy with excitement to see LT’s daily analysis was waiting for us.

Thank you!

Smelly Skater
Smelly Skater
5 years ago

Nice work @Longtom. Totally agree that Jacob Wilcox was robbed. My only critique would be that you didn’t mention Pip’s death stare. ‘Twas the highlight of the day.

James Bickerton
James Bickerton
5 years ago

Watched all the replays and the new commentary team is doing a good job , talking story , but seem to forget we come , initially to watch the world’s best surfing in heats and have someone , hopefully erudite and cheerful ( but not like Joe )to give us some insight into what is happening , on the wave , in comparison to what the other surfer in the heat is doing and has done on the other waves ….. please don’t forget to comment on the waves

WHICH ARE BREAKING IN FRONT OF YOU ON THE SCREEN !

Longtom ….. Your favorite Lennox Goofy Transplant has lost in the round of 32 3x ( not helped by the fucking twisted post seeding round seedings ) which today saw Jakob Wilcox surf v Kanoa and not Medina ( I know who I would rather surf against )

John John at Pipe ….. eventual winner
Medina ….at Newcastle …. runner up
Had a Shocker against 3x world champ wild card at Narrabeen in the ER
He lost again today to Medina who has lost 2 heats since it kicked off at Pipe ( ie the final to jj at Pipe and the final to Italo at Newy )

Connor is surfing great ,he dropped the second highest one wave score of the day with an 8.93 in the elimination round , but needs to pull out his finger and get a few wins in the dreaded seeding round to avoid FUNKY COLD MEDINA

Waterproof Polo
Waterproof Polo
5 years ago

I just went and watched the heat analyser for Jacob’s last wave, and based on other scores for the day he totally deserved a 7.51 which would have tied the heat up. Initial turn was a sick hook/snap, then a big old foam climb/reo/float and into a quick bottom turn tail slide as if it was a 1 ft closeout. But it was more like a 6ft closeout! I was fuming they didn’t show a replay live and now more so.

James Bickerton
James Bickerton
5 years ago

Yep … Kanoa never loses close heats …. he even beat Fanning here by 0.01 of a point as a Rookie .
There was some strange judging that seemed to sometimes over emphasize the final close out hits , especially if they had a bit of the old Slater look I have disappeared and fallen off before reappearing , and then a few other decisions where a forehand lay back snap not to high in the lip to avoid hitting the above closeout got the money .

Chad Lebrone
Chad Lebrone
5 years ago

I thought Morgan was also cruelly underappreciated by the Judges. That barrel on the inside corner showed incredible skill and composure, let alone the fact that he did two solid turns before hand. Seth surfed solid, but not remarkably, and continues his run as the most consistently overscored surfer of the past few years.

Also Mikey Wright was scored brutally low on one of his waves. A aggressive, open faced carve followed by a big, freefalling reo (not one of the under-the-lip safety turns others were doing – this was a fully committed attack on the lip). He got a mid four, and in the one of the heats just after someone had a very similar ride and got an 8.5 (which was right about where I’d expected Mikey’s score to fall).

James Bickerton
James Bickerton
5 years ago
Reply to  Chad Lebrone

Yep … Just had another look on the heat analyzer and thought that Morgan’s attempted buzzer beater , bang bang combo…. .. with a strong first turn and a risky big in the lip power turn on a strong section …. was worth at least 0.2 more than Seth’s 6.7 who came unstuck on the first turn , to cut back , to soft ( for the standard of the day ) end section hit .
Judges seem to get an almost 80s erection over number of turns and length of ride on certain waves in the 6 to 7 score range .. ?

Bush
Bush
5 years ago

Yeah fully! Was standing in crowd watching these massive peaks roll through and then turn around look at the big screen replay and it looked way smaller.

Some of the sets exploding out at the box were insane. Didn’t seem many surf able though.

James Bickerton
James Bickerton
5 years ago
Reply to  Bush

Always hard on the TV to compare the size and intensity of the waves and the difference in speed of the surfers ….. I once saw a round table of top French CT and QS Pros and they were of the opinion a few years back that the best surfing was being done by Mick but the essence of his surfing was not captured on video and the speed and technique were somewhat lost in translation ?

Bush
Bush
5 years ago

Also as a side note a pleasing amount of good looking people about. Plenty of covid-left over euro/South American travellers about the south west still.

Sellme fitzgobbins
Sellme fitzgobbins
5 years ago
Reply to  Bush

Annoying in the surf and shitting all over the bush and carparks at the beach but hey their chicks are hot and their equipment will never allow them to get many waves once it’s over 3 ft so kind of like perthies (except their chicks are hot)

Bush
Bush
5 years ago

Right wasn’t aware of the blatant mis-use of bush paths. Your right about the surf though. Hardened locals shouldn’t have anything to worry about when the surf gets juicy, I’m one of said Perthies who can’t seem to grasp foam is your friend. Flailing around getting pitched and blowing good waves.

But back to the euros Who else gonna make your coffee or pick your fruit?

James Bickerton
James Bickerton
5 years ago
Reply to  Bush

They could possibly give these jobs to refugees ….oops we don’t take them because they might take our jobs ?

Chief Hot stuff
Chief Hot stuff
5 years ago

Wrong
We take heaps ya nong

James Bickerton
James Bickerton
5 years ago

And then lock them up in camps offshore ?

Chief Hot stuff
Chief Hot stuff
5 years ago

You have no clue

James Bickerton
James Bickerton
5 years ago

It’s ok Bex ….. now that Chairman Morrison has declared the Budget Surplus is no longer God ….Money is now ready to be used for the good of everybody …. refugees included ?

Chief Hot stuff
Chief Hot stuff
5 years ago

We take 12000 a year which is 12000 more than your gumby mate connors Japan does
Sheesh

James Bickerton
James Bickerton
5 years ago

That’s good but we can do better …..Now we just deny our own citizens , stuck in India ,the right to return home ?

Chief Hot stuff
Chief Hot stuff
5 years ago

I couldn’t agree less and they were warned not to go.

James Bickerton
James Bickerton
5 years ago

It’s just not cricket ….. Besides politics , How goes Rex Bex and the Vidina Family ?
If nothing else it is wonderful to see your favorite dark haired goofy surfer ( no not comrade Bicko ) Medina , absolutely killing it .

Chief Hot stuff
Chief Hot stuff
5 years ago

All good buddy
Very much time taken up with fathering and satisfying the handbrake
It’s great.
Loving my boy Gabe
Master surfer in any conditions although I’d love to see him at Jaws.
Hope all is well
God bless.

James Bickerton
James Bickerton
5 years ago

All good , though slightly surf starved … Howling winds today but from the wrong direction for my part of the Baltic ….Wife got vaccinated months ago so we are no longer concerned when she takes the pushy to go off to work at the hospital ….. I read that over 50s in Oz can now step in line for vaccination ? I am still waiting in Germany ….

I reckon if Gabriel put his mind to it he could win the Eddie and the Ranch in the same year .

Lemon Next to the Pie
Lemon Next to the Pie
5 years ago

Nah, you’re talking about the actual scammers who over stay their visas and take on the fruit picking shit jobs that Aussies don’t want. I mean why would you knock back $14 an hour and still get to pay for your accommodation and food?

nicky buttonshaw
nicky buttonshaw
5 years ago

Is Jacob Wilcox getting a wildcard start at Rottnest ??
And Reef Hazelwood?

James Bickerton
James Bickerton
5 years ago

Mitch Thorson and a quokka have been given the local wildcards …….

channelbottom
channelbottom
5 years ago

Maybe some GW Lightning?

Capt Sensible
Capt Sensible
5 years ago

Thorsen looks and surfs like a quokka, so perfect.

bob
bob
5 years ago

maybe Mick again.

Low wide stinkbug stance
Low wide stinkbug stance
5 years ago

One will have to be a rip curl team rider and the other a local. That’s my guess.

James Bickerton
James Bickerton
5 years ago

Wilcox as the highest rated WA surfer on the 2019 QS , and after his performance on the big day and a Rip Curl Surfer deserves it , and Taj at Rottnest would possibly be more dangerous than Mick at Narrabeen ?

Chad Lebrone
Chad Lebrone
5 years ago

Maybe they’ll drag James Catto out of some dark alley somewhere?

Low wide stinkbug stance
Low wide stinkbug stance
5 years ago
Reply to  Chad Lebrone

At risk of going all Ben kenobi, that’s a name I’ve not heard in a long time…

Bush
Bush
5 years ago

Was there watching it live today. Around the time of Flores and Robbo heat it was as good as Magaret gets. Absolutely pumping. Some of the best surfing I’ve seen live. Looked more like 8 to 10 foot than 6 foot from the shore.

Mapski
Mapski
5 years ago
Reply to  Bush

Odd how the TV makes the surf appear smaller and Wade larger.

Low wide stinkbug stance
Low wide stinkbug stance
5 years ago
Reply to  Bush

There was a famous quote by Gordon merchant (I think) that they had to get 8-10 foot gland for their comp because 6 foot gland would look 4 foot in the photos.

Mista Spakle
Mista Spakle
5 years ago

Longtom is like Gabe M. or johny johnny…..Totally outclasses all the other writers on this site to the point where he’s the only guy worth tuning in for.

Chazz Michael Michaels
Chazz Michael Michaels
5 years ago
Reply to  Mista Spakle

My one piece per year resents that.

Eddie Haiku
Eddie Haiku
5 years ago

Writing two a year
Would make you twice the writer
And Longtom halfer );

Randommargslocal
Randommargslocal
5 years ago

Something I love about margs mainbreak is just that there’s no hiding.

It’s an extremely hard wave to surf and the large faces and massive playing field mean every second guess or trip up is punished a thousand times by the ocean.

Also it’s SO much heavier than it looks on screen. Will hold you down until the next pandemic hits…

Strawman
Strawman
5 years ago

Very very good post commenting🙏 seeing things that my eyes will never see.


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