Ten hours of competition and four competitors
eliminated, three wildcards and poor Seth Moniz.
We’ve had two days of competition at Margaret River
already, three if you’re counting both men and women, more than ten
solid hours of competitive surfing on the men’s side, and
what are we left with?
Elimination of Jack Thomas, Ben Spence, Jacob Wilcox and Seth
Moniz.
Two surfers we’ve never heard of and might not again. One whom
we recognise as a previous early exiting wildcard, and poor Seth
Moniz.
(See yesterday’s piece for
explanation of the latter.)
The most interesting contribution that Jacob Wilcox made was
“words” with Zeke Lau in the morning warm up, following a drop-in
and a flicked board from Zeke.
The idea that the number of surfers in each event needs to
decrease is a firmly beaten drum. I’ve always quite liked the
variety of surfers, styles and talents and felt a diverse field was
more interesting, but I have to concede this is dead wrong.
As surfers we venerate the stylists and the specialists, but
competition is competition. Talent matters, but winning mentalities
matter more.
It has also been strikingly apparent recently that the selection
of wildcards needs to be better. It’s not consistent, nor
effective. Some are chosen by sponsors, some by the WSL, but few
are successful in heats. For the most part, you can safely pencil
them in to exit at the earliest possible opportunity.
If a wildcard is to be granted let’s try and make it worthwhile.
The idea of the local wildcard is lovely and romantic, but rarely
lives up to the potential. Pipe specialists excepted.
Wildcards need to be chosen more carefully, more Barron Mamiya
than Mikey Wright. More Jay Davies than Jack Thomas. If a wildcard
is not a genuine threat they’re simply useless fodder that sucks
away meaningful competition time.
So anyway, thankfully the comp starts now.
What do we think of the forecast? Conclusion of the women’s
today, perhaps, followed by a couple of lay days waiting for the
next swell?
More Main Break at the beginning of next week?
Or perhaps The Box this weekend?
Any Margaret River aficionados below the line please fill us
in.
Regardless, it looks like waves ahead and some more key decision
making for Jesse Miley-Dyer. Given recent events, they are perhaps
decisions that could be decisive in whether or not she remains in a
job that has looked less and less tenable.
You might say it’s make or break time. In fact, my guess is
they’ll sack her anyway because it’s good TV.
What do you like in the round of 32?
The match-ups change complexion depending on where they surf, of
course, and keen-eyed gamblers will be taking note of this.
(Remember when Jack Robinson was matched against Filipe with the
latter as a heavy favourite according to bookmakers? These are the
opportunities a bold man might retire on.)
I’ll enjoy the all Aussie battler match-up between Callum Robson
and Morgan Ciblic in H3. Ciblic, of course, needs the win if we’re
to see him again.
Two all American boys face off in H4 in with Coffin vs
Colapinto. Conner needs the victory to avoid the cut, but given
recent form he must be wishing it was a spelling bee rather than a
surf comp.
Italo vs Joao Chianca in H7 looks like a potential banger. Keep
a close eye on this one. It’s the kind of heat where the presiding
narrative might lead to some unconscious judging bias. Everyone
believes Joao belongs on Tour, and Italo is the emerging
villain.
What drama might we see in a close heat? Don’t be surprised if
Joao pips him at the post. Stand by for more dazzling bejeweled
rage in the aftermath.
I like the look of the goofy match-up with Miguel Pupo vs Owen
Wright in H8. Owen needs the win. Is he a man campaigning for The
Box?
Jadson needs to beat Kelly in H13 to have any chance of staying
on Tour. He’s been here before. Don’t bet against him.
Then it’s a tasty battle of the power brokers in H14 with Jordy
vs Zeke. Expect full rail gouges and mean mugging.
Zeke needs the win, Jordy almost as much. A quarter final defeat
in Portugal is far and away Jordy’s best result of the season to
date. He’s a man who should be aiming for the top and he’ll need to
put his foot down quick.
I’m all in, as they say.