Meanwhile, Filipe Toledo slips in the bookmakers' estimation, falling from top six favourite to 51-1 rank outsider.
The popular surf vlogger Nathan Florence, voted surfer of the year in 2023 and brother of US Surf Olympian John John, has set a cat among the pigeons, as the expression goes, after predicting “six-to-eight-foot big mutant bowls with rogue ten-footers” for Paris 2024 Teahupoo.
As if guided by a divine hand intent on bringing chaos to an Olympic Games already besieged by terrorism, a west swell will likely deliver, according to Nathan Florence’s interpretation of wind guru and Surfline’s figures, “big mutant bowls.”
“I don’t know how big, eight at thirteen seconds, the period is pretty small, you want fifteen second range… but if the swell stays and the wind stays nice and clean, the 29th as well as the 30th are great days. We could have some really epic waves, something the surf world will be proud of in the Olympics.”
How big?
“As it is,” says Nathan Florence, “Eight foot at thirteen seconds, with this westerly angle, for these two days, we’re going to see six-to-eight foot with rogue ten-footers coming through on competition day. Which is fucking epic.”
Nathan Florence predicts either his brother John John or Gabriel Medina will win the gold medal, although acknowledges Australia’s Jack Robinson is a threat if big as well as the Tahitian Kauli Vaast.
Outsiders worth a buck or two in the betting ring, says Florence, are Brazil’s Joao Chianca and Moroccan Ramzi Boukhiam.
Bookies no longer favour a Filipe Toledo medal, relegating the two-time world champ to 51-1 rank outsider.
“I’m very excited to watch this,” says Florence.