"All bets are off!"
Back in 2017, Sally Fitzgibbons needed only a
good performance at Honolua to win the world title. She looked to
have it within her grasp. Then the waves went flat. Not a bump on
the horizon. For what felt like an eternity, she could only sit and
watch as the clock ticked down. It started to rain. Which, go ahead
and fire the writers on this film. The rain was going way too far.
Tyler Wright went on to win the title that day, while Fitzgibbons
was forced to settle for third in the final rankings.
Now Fitzgibbons is leading the title race, after beating Carissa
Moore in the finals at the Oi Rio Pro. During her first three years
on Tour, Fitzgibbons finished second twice behind Gilmore and once
behind Moore. This could be the year she finally wins one — but if
the first five events of this season are anything to go by, there’s
a long way to go before this thing is over. Predicting the women’s
world title race this year is a fool’s game.
I am not a morning person, so the vast majority of the Oi Rio
Pro took place while I was hugging my pillow. I’ll confess to
taking an impressionistic approach to watching heats. Basically, I
watched the ones I wanted to watch. This seemed like a perfectly
journalistically responsible approach to take. I considered picking
one surfer at random and only watching her heats. Maybe I’ll do it
that way for France. Waking up to watch sports in France while
living in California is not rad, in my experience.
Women’s round three unfolded in the kind of fucked up beach
break most of us would watch from the beach. I like mixed up beach
break about as much as I like going left. Let’s just say, these are
not my favorite conditions. After she won her round 3 heat, Strider
asked Moore how she managed to find scoring waves. Moore laughed
and said, I don’t know, you tell me. That was largely the story of
Oi Rio: the search for scoring waves.
Moore was among the more successful at this game during round 3
and won her heat against local wildcard Taina Hinckel with a five
and a six. Hinckel met Moore after winning her elimination round
heat against Fitzgibbons and Nikki Van Dijk. Shoutout to the local
wildcard girl! Hinckel couldn’t make much headway against Moore.
Despite her self-deprecating interview, Moore seemed relatively
comfortable in the wild conditions.
With so many lefts on offer, I was looking forward to seeing
Caroline Marks surf frontside. I swear to you, every time I saw her
on a wave, she was going right. It does make a certain amount of
sense — if you know you can get the scores going backside, well,
you’re going to do that in a heat. Marks went out in round 3 to
Keely Andrew. It was a low-scoring heat and both women struggled to
find rideable waves.
Together with Moore, Fitzgibbons and Peterson proved the
standouts in round 3. With a combination of luck and skill, they
managed to find scoring waves amidst the chaos. Peterson’s
athleticism gave her an edge in the bumpy conditions. Her turns
looked solid and she ably dispatched Macy Callaghan in lopsided
heat. Defay took an early lead against Fitzgibbons, but it didn’t
last long. Fitzgibbons found a tidy left that was good for a seven
and change. The judges seemed inclined to reward anything
resembling a legit turn out there — which given the conditions, was
not wrong, necessarily.
For finals day, the contest moved down the beach. The conditions
cleaned up, sure, but remained shifty. Long lulls, plenty of
closeouts, plenty of backwash. The crowd on the beach really didn’t
seem to care. Sun, beer — a good day out for all involved, if not
the most scintillating event to watch on the internet.
After her performance in round 3, Peterson’s quarterfinal was
frankly a shocker. She struggled to find anything to ride and went
down to Fitzgibbons with a heat total of 1.20. A couple years back,
Peterson broke her foot in the backwash at Oxnard. I couldn’t help
but wonder if that injury got in her head a bit as she faced the
backwash bumps and closeouts at Barrinha. She looked unusually
tentative. Fitzgibbons waltzed away with an eight and a six to make
the semis.
My favorite heats in women’s surfing happen between Moore and
Steph Gilmore. Almost without fail, they bring out the best in each
other. Their semi at Barrinha got off to a slow start. Moore took
an early lead with a couple of three’s, but it would have been a
surprise if those numbers had held. And sure enough they did
not.
The heat got serious when Moore pulled into a nifty barrel on a
set wave and managed to shimmy out of it for a 7.5. Gilmore, who’d
been struggling a bit in the closeouts, needed something special.
Of course, being Steph, she found it: A long barrel with a clean
snap to finish it. The judges liked it. Like, really, really liked
it. Gilmore grabbed a nine and took over the lead.
But Moore wasn’t done. She found another seven and with clock
ticking down, Gilmore needed a six and change. A small insider at
the buzzer was all Gilmore could find — and it wasn’t enough. Last
year at Huntington, Moore lost after Gilmore got the score on her
final wave. This time, the decision went Moore’s way. It was a
characteristic heat for both of them, in some ways. Moore, rock
solid, consistent. Gilmore, flairing with a big score, one of the
highest of the day for the women.
Anytime Gilmore and Moore compete, it feels like a final. By
comparison the semi between Fitzgibbons and Andrew felt
anticlimactic. A low-scoring affair, Fitzgibbons advanced with a
7.63 — lower than Moore’s single-wave score.
I had Moore to win the final and for much of the heat, it looked
like she had it. While Moore had a seven and a five in hand,
Fitzgibbons unrolled a series of low-scoring waves on the inside.
There was, as it turned out, a method to the madness. Fitzgibbons
sold the judges on a couple of cheeky little coverups. Not quite
barrels, but close enough to catch their jaded eyes. A 5.97 felt
overscored, but it’s hard to argue with Fitzgibbons’s animated
style. She knows how to sell it.
The heat turned on a barrel to closeout smack combination from
Fitzgibbons. The barrel was neither as deep or as clean as
Gilmore’s nine. It was the flying closeout banger that earned
Fitzgibbons the score — and fairly, I think, though I had to watch
it a couple times to decide. Thanks to an eight on that thing,
Fitzgibbons won Oi Rio — and took over the lead in the world
rankings. I’ll confess, I did not see that coming.
The women’s title race remains wildly dynamic. With five events
completed, no one has won more than one event. Marks, Gilmore,
Conlogue, Peterson, and Fitzgibbons: Each has won an event. With
the exception of Gilmore, each has also gone out early at least
once, if not twice in the early rounds. Marks and Peterson have two
ninths; Fitzgibbons has one.
Though she hasn’t yet won an event, Moore remains the most
consistent. Neither Moore nor Gilmore have finished below the
quarters this year. Over on Instagram, Rabbit Bartholomew commented
to Moore that she’d set herself up perfectly for a late-year run at
the title. And he might just be right. If this year has shown us
anything so far, though, the women’s title race is anything but
predictable. Five events down, five to go.
With J-Bay up next, we head straight into Gilmore’s territory.
It’s all but impossible to bet against the seven-time champ in good
conditions at J-Bay. (Want a reminder? I got you.) If Gilmore
wants to hold off a run up the rankings from Moore, she’ll need to
win at J-Bay. The wave pool, France, and Honolua all suit Moore.
And of course, there’s Fitzgibbons, sitting up there leading the
whole damn thing.
All bets are off.