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Filipe Toledo and daddy Ricardo Toledo.
Filipe Toledo and daddy Ricardo Toledo, two passionate surfers who dared to take on the world and win.

Bookmakers reveal Filipe Toledo among favourites for Olympic gold as betting market opens for Paris 2024!

Smart money on the glorious return of world champ Pip Toledo!

In a move that may shock surfers, and within that subset readers of BeachGrit, bookmakers have cast world champ Filipe Toledo as one of the top six favourites for Olympic gold at Teahupoo. 

In order, the market expects Gabriel Medina to win (3-1) followed by John John Florence (4-1), Jack Robinson (4.90-1), Kauli Vaast (8-1), Griffin Colapinto (14-1) and Filipe Toledo at 26-1. 

Toledo, a twenty-nine-year-old daddy of two as well as the holder of two world crowns, has long had a difficult relationship with the Tahitian lefthander, as has this writer, five campaigns, zero tubes. You’ll recall, one month ago, when the king of surf journalists himself, Surfline’s Nick Carroll, openly declared that Filipe Toledo should give his Olympic spot to Italo Ferreira. 

“Italo…he’s come from poverty to a world title, won the first surfing Olympics, battled with form and disillusionment, and just won the best contest since that title at Pipe. Vahine’s now full-on favorite for the approaching Games at what’s pretty much her homebreak. Maybe Filipe should give Italo his spot.”

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The bookies clearly think otherwise and predict, at the very least, a top six finish for Filipe Toledo who hasn’t competed since withdrawing from the Pipeline event in February following his humiliating first round loss and relegation to the elimination round.

Toledo subsequently withdrew from the event, and later the tour, citing an unspecified “illness”.

In other surprises Australian Ethan Ewing is a very dark horse 34-1, Joao Chianca 29-1, Japan’s Kanoa Igarashi is 46-1 and Germany’s Tim Elter a wild ol 126-1. 

In the gals, ain’t no surprises.

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The market favours local Vahine Fierro (4-1), Caz Marks (5.50-1), Caity Simmers, Tatiana Weston-Webb and Brisa Hennessy, all at 7.50. 

Smart bets?

Well, there ain’t such a thing, but if you’ve got money to lose, throw a c-note on Ethan and Caity for wins. 

The Paris 2024 Olympic surfing competition at Teahupoo in Tahiti is scheduled to take place between July 27 and August 4, 2024.

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Here’s how the contest works.

Round 1:
Eight heats of three surfers each.
The winner of each heat advances directly to Round 3.
The other two surfers move to Round 2.

Round 2:
Eight heats of two surfers.
The winner of each heat advances to Round 3.

Round 3:
Sixteen surfers compete in eight heats of two surfers each.
The winner of each heat advances to the quarterfinals.

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Quarterfinals:
Eight surfers compete in four heats of two surfers each.
The winner of each heat advances to the semifinals.

Semifinals:
Four surfers compete in two heats of two surfers each.
The winner of each heat advances to the gold medal match, and the losers compete in the bronze medal match.

Finals:
Two surfers compete in the gold medal match.
Two surfers compete in the bronze medal match.

WOMEN’S SURFING HEAT DRAW FOR PARIS 2024

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Heat 1: Yolanda Hopkins (POR), Caroline Marks (USA), Sarah Baum (RSA)
Heat 2: Sol Aguirre (PER), Janire Etxabarri (ESP), Vahine Fierro (FRA)
Heat 3: Anat Lelior (ISR), Sanoa Dempfle-Olin (CAN), Tyler Wright (AUS)
Heat 4: Tatiana Weston-Webb (BRA), Molly Picklum (AUS), Caitlin Simmers (USA)
Heat 5: Johanne Defay (FRA), Brisa Hennessy (CRC), Candelaria Resano (NCA)
Heat 6: Tainá Hinckel (BRA), Camila Kemp (GER), Luana Silva (BRA)
Heat 7: Nadia Erostarbe (ESP), Siqi Yang (CHN), Saffi Vette (NZL)
Heat 8: Carissa Moore (USA), Teresa Bonvalot (POR), Matsuda Shino (JPN)

MEN’S SURFING HEAT DRAW FOR PARIS 2024

Heat 1: Ethan Ewing (AUS), Tim Elter (GER), Jordy Smith (RSA)
Heat 2: Joan Duru (FRA), Jack Robinson (AUS), Matthew McGillivray (RSA)
Heat 3: Alonso Correa (PER), Filipe Toledo (BRA), Kanoa Igarashi (JPN)
Heat 4: Gabriel Medina (BRA), Connor O’Leary (JPN), Bryan Perez (ESA)
Heat 5: Ramzi Boukhiam (MAR), Billy Stairmand (NZL), João Chianca (BRA)
Heat 6: Andy Criere (ESP), John John Florence (USA), Alan Cleland (MAR)
Heat 7: Kauli Vaast (FRA), Lucca Mesinas (PER), Griffin Colapinto (USA)
Heat 8: Rio Waida (INA), Leonardo Fioravanti (ITA), Inaba Reo (JPN)

 

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justiceminister

Toledo 50/1 with bet365. Wouldn’t back him at 100s. Ewing was 66 with same firm but has been cut to 50s since I loaded on. McGillvray is worth an interest at 100/1 too. Fearless and a 10 guy there.

Keith Grace

Women’s Heats 4 and 7 draw tells you all you need to know about the organization of this whole ordeal.

Gil Gunderson

My money is on surfing to win. Yay surfing.

Tomas' silky smooth arms

Pip in training: https://uploads.disquscdn.c…

Stick man

Potty training?

Rob Aspvermin

Hey Y’all. I hallucinating there was a live chat yesdy. Yet I guess it was too good to be true. Alas.

Beef & Beer

My name is Maximus Decimus Meridius

https://uploads.disquscdn.c…
…until lambs become lions . . .

The Bitchy Crab

Like vintage Post Malone!

Dim Sim

Russ Le Root, surely.

Hippy

Betting on Olympic surfing… see a professional, you have a problem

Low wide stinkbug stance

Throwing cash on natural footers at chopes? Fool and his money soon parted.

Happy Camper

is there a waiting period or do they just GO on Day 1, guns-a-blazin’?
If no waiting period, my money’s on Toledo or JJF.

Otto

What’s your strategy at Chopes Filipe Toledo?

Toledo: “Waiting. Period.”

Surf Coach/Great Human

I also want to know. As without one this will just be an Olympic sanctioned Wsl Windswell Shootout, may the great human with the most turns win.

Rocks local

What’s up with heat 4 on the ladies’ side?? Who the fuck thought that made sense?

Stick man

That’s a pretty ‘CT thing to do!

Otto

I’m wagering most will find Olympic Breakdancing more exciting than Surfing.

k55

At first I thought you were joking, breakdancing in da Olympics, but true I guess.
At least most people can relate to breakdancing on some level and have probably seen it somewhere.

Ya, surfing will probably be like Curling, I usually tune it in every Olympics for I don’t know, 20 minutes or 45 minutes, or maybe an hour, and then forget about it for another four years

Happy Camper

My money’s on Boogaloo Shrimp for Gold

Otto

Smart. A sweep stake.

https://youtu.be/QS1VKpvc9m…

Happy Camper

absolute legend.
I was living in california when all this was going down.

My younger brother use to go up and dance with these guys in
Hollywood. his popping was awesome.
he had his own cardboard and everything.

Stick man

Turbo & Ozone!

No Feelings

Gambling is stupid, unless you win.

Andy C

The WSL and the Olympics double penetrating the shit out of surfing

The Bitchy Crab

DPs never get old!

Andy C

Air tight!

The Bitchy Crab

Ah, that’s one step beyond the tame in comparison DP.

Stick man

TP!

Stick man

Neither do you DR!

Stick man

** cunts**


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